Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.004700 0.005207 0.005732 0.006316 0.006946 0.007605 0.008346
2024-12-22 0.003961 0.004687 0.005478 0.006402 0.007445 0.008584 0.009917
2024-12-29 0.003562 0.004420 0.005389 0.006558 0.007921 0.009453 0.011294
2025-01-05 0.003265 0.004219 0.005330 0.006707 0.008353 0.010246 0.012572
2025-01-12 0.002876 0.003864 0.005048 0.006554 0.008399 0.010565 0.013279
2025-01-19 0.002602 0.003622 0.004877 0.006509 0.008551 0.010993 0.014106
2025-01-26 0.002340 0.003371 0.004672 0.006401 0.008608 0.011293 0.014770
2025-02-02 0.002147 0.003194 0.004545 0.006378 0.008757 0.011699 0.015560
2025-02-09 0.001974 0.003028 0.004420 0.006343 0.008883 0.012069 0.016305
2025-02-16 0.001884 0.002969 0.004428 0.006480 0.009228 0.012716 0.017406
2025-02-23 0.001731 0.002810 0.004293 0.006414 0.009299 0.013009 0.018055
2025-03-02 0.001610 0.002688 0.004199 0.006396 0.009428 0.013374 0.018798
2025-03-09 0.001565 0.002679 0.004268 0.006613 0.009887 0.014194 0.020167
2025-03-16 0.001482 0.002607 0.004243 0.006694 0.010164 0.014778 0.021239
2025-03-23 0.001429 0.002578 0.004276 0.006857 0.010554 0.015517 0.022527
2025-03-30 0.001378 0.002547 0.004304 0.007011 0.010931 0.016246 0.023810
2025-04-06 0.001250 0.002384 0.004125 0.006853 0.010861 0.016357 0.024259
2025-04-13 0.001161 0.002277 0.004025 0.006806 0.010944 0.016677 0.024993
2025-04-20 0.001063 0.002150 0.003887 0.006695 0.010927 0.016855 0.025530
2025-04-27 0.000993 0.002065 0.003809 0.006670 0.011034 0.017204 0.026307
2025-05-04 0.000926 0.001980 0.003727 0.006634 0.011121 0.017524 0.027045
2025-05-11 0.000899 0.001965 0.003758 0.006776 0.011475 0.018229 0.028334
2025-05-18 0.000834 0.001875 0.003660 0.006708 0.011508 0.018472 0.028969